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If you’re looking to win your wagers, NBAbetline.com has the news, tips and advice to give you a competitive edge on all your basketball plays.
NBA: Top NBA Weekend Power Trends 3/5-3/7
2010-03-05
I know it…it’s easy to forget about the NBA at this time of the year. March is about college basketball, right? Well, the savvy bettor acknowledges every opportunity he is given and takes advantage if the situation warrants. With that in mind, the NBA board is loaded with 26 games this weekend, at least six each day. This weekend’s Top StatFox Betting Trends piece should help you separate some of the strong plays from the weak. Read on for a look at some of the featured action over the next three days, plus the list of the top trends you’ll want to consider as you build your wagering lineup.
On Friday, the weekend is kicked off with 11 different games, two of which will make up the ESPN doubleheader. In the first one, the Cavaliers will host division rival, Detroit. For whatever reason, Cleveland was strangely NOT on TNT Thursday night so this won’t be a back-to-back situation. LeBron & Co. have won four straight games, both SU & ATS, as they begin consecutive games against Central Division foes. For the record, they are 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in division play this season. The Pistons are 2-8 SU & 2-7-1 ATS in that scenario. In the late game, New Orleans and San Antonio will get together for the second time in five days, with the Hornets looking to avenge a 106-92 loss on Monday at home. The Spurs are still trying to figure things out this season and despite being 10-games over .500, are just 7-14 ATS in their L21 games. Elsewhere, the red-hot Bucks will be in Washington, sporting an 18-3-1 ATS mark in their L22 games, including a 100-87 win over the Wizards on Wednesday. Also, watch for the Lakers in Charlotte, and the Mavericks, winners of their last nine games, hosting Sacramento.
On Saturday, there are nine games to choose from, including several with teams in back-to-back scenarios. Two that I mentioned earlier, the Bucks and Cavaliers, will go head-to-head in Milwaukee. HC Scott Skiles’ team boasts a 10-6 SU & 12-3-1 ATS mark on zero days rest while the Cavs are just 6-9 ATS. Also on Saturday, Atlanta will visit Miami. The Heat are scuffling a bit again, having lost four straight ATS. They are also just 12-17 ATS at home, plus 4-10 SU & 5-9 ATS on the back end of back-to-back’s. In Memphis, the Spurs will come calling, with the Grizzlies trailing San Antonio by four games in the Western Conference standings.
Sunday is once again national TV day in the NBA, with three games set for the tube. On ABC at 2:30 PM ET, the Lakers will take on the Magic in Orlando. Obviously, the Lakers are in good shape in the West, leading the conference standings by 5-1/2 games entering the weekend over Dallas. However, HC Phil Jackson has to be concerned about this trend going forward: LA LAKERS are 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. The average score was LA LAKERS 94.9, OPPONENT 98.1 - (Rating = 1*). The Magic are playing well again and have lost just six times at home this season. A bit later on ESPN, Boston will host Washington. The Celtics are not playing well of late but did turn back Charlotte by 24 points on Wednesday and could be ready to turn the corner. Wrapping up the night are Portland and Denver. The Blazers boast a 4-1/2 game lead for the 8th and final playoff spot out West and have come alive by winning five of six games. They will have been off since Wednesday and boast a 3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS mark when playing on 3+ days rest.
Now, here’s a look at those top StatFox Power Trends you’ll want to consider in your wagering action this weekend:
Friday, 3/5/2010
(807) NEW YORK vs. (808) TORONTO
NEW YORK is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) revenging 2 straight losses where opp. scored >=100 points over last 2 seasons. The average score was NEW YORK 105.4, OPPONENT 105.8 - (Rating = 2*)
(809) BOSTON vs. (810) PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) at home vs. good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/g over the L3 seasons. The average score was PHILADELPHIA 95.7, OPPONENT 106.1 - (Rating = 2*)
(813) ORLANDO vs. (814) NEW JERSEY
ORLANDO is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=25%) over the last 2 seasons. The average score was ORLANDO 106.5, OPPONENT 92.4 - (Rating = 3*)
(813) ORLANDO vs. (814) NEW JERSEY
ORLANDO is 12-1 UNDER (+10.9 Units) on Friday nights this season. The average score was ORLANDO 93.5, OPPONENT 92.4 - (Rating = 3*)
(815) SACRAMENTO vs. (816) DALLAS
DALLAS is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season. The average score was DALLAS 101.5, OPPONENT 98.7 - (Rating = 2*)
Saturday, 3/6/2010
(503) ATLANTA vs. (504) MIAMI
ATLANTA is 27-8 UNDER (+18.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The average score was ATLANTA 91.6, OPPONENT 93.3 - (Rating = 3*)
(505) NEW JERSEY vs. (506) NEW YORK
NEW JERSEY is 3-17 ATS (-15.7 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game this season. The average score was NEW JERSEY 92.3, OPPONENT 107 - (Rating = 4*)
(513) CLEVELAND vs. (514) MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons. The average score was MILWAUKEE 95.3, OPPONENT 102 - (Rating = 1*)
(517) INDIANA vs. (518) PHOENIX
PHOENIX is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) vs. poor teams outscored by 3+ PPG in 2nd half of the last 2 seasons. The average score was PHOENIX 121.9, OPPONENT 106.7 - (Rating = 2*)
Sunday, 3/7/2010
(803) LA LAKERS vs. (804) ORLANDO
LA LAKERS are 23-8 UNDER (+14.2 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons. The average score was LA LAKERS 103.1, OPPONENT 93.1 - (Rating = 2*)
(807) WASHINGTON vs. (808) BOSTON
BOSTON is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ PPG this season. The average score was BOSTON 99.7, OPPONENT 95.1 - (Rating = 2*)
(807) WASHINGTON vs. (808) BOSTON
WASHINGTON is 10-0 UNDER (+10 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season. The average score was WASHINGTON 93.8, OPPONENT 96.6 - (Rating = 4*)
(811) PORTLAND vs. (812) DENVER
DENVER is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. The average score was DENVER 107.6, OPPONENT 98.7 - (Rating = 1*)
More antics possible in Denver for Game 5
2009-05-13
For a series that has been either as bland as guacamole or as fiery as 100 jalapeño peppers, this next game has caught the attention of sports fans, bloggers, those on Twitter and sports bettors. Nobody expects Dallas to emerge victorious after losing first three games to Denver, however this is kind of like discovering a television show that you’ve grown to like recently and just found out it is about to be cancelled. This would be a good time to watch for line moves on the BETTING TRENDS page or see if this makes the TOP TEN list of popular wagers as side or total.
The first two games in Denver were like old episodes of the Andy Griffith show on TV Land. Mildly entertaining, with an outcome you saw coming. When the venue changed to Dallas, all of the sudden it looked like an episode of American Chopper.
Without going over ALL the delicious details, Mavericks owner Mark Cuban loses cool and calls out Kenyon Martin’s mother. After seeing the commotion he caused, he later apologizes. Kind of like throwing confetti and realizing later somebody has to clean it up.
Kenyon Martin evidently bought the Rosetta Stone version of Al Pacino in “Scarface” after Game 3 and let those in attendance and to a lesser degree those on television, share his new language and was particularly fond of one word he used over and over again.
If you are a Dallas fan, you can take solace in the fact; your team avoided being swept. The Mavericks to a man showed guts and pride, seldom associated with teams down 3-0. Dirk Nowitzki looked exactly like the same player that led Dallas to NBA Finals a few years ago. Josh Howard is running like Yao Ming, without the broken bones and showed extreme courage. The Mavs laid it all on the line and is 14-5 ATS after a combined score of 215 points or more this season.
The Denver bettor and fan is far from disappointed, as the Nuggets covered the spread for a ninth consecutive time. Denver didn’t play A-Game or put forth much defensive effort, yet could look at the box score and see 12 missed free throws cost them a chance at victory.
Coach George Karl had his first off game of the postseason also, failing to have his team switch properly on high screen and rolls and not doubling Nowitzki more, as Martin was schooled like a high-schooler.
There is blood in the water for Game 5 and Denver knows it. They are 38-8 (28-17-1 ATS) at the Pepsi Center and 15-4 ATS after allowing 100 points or more three straight games this season. Chris Anderson should be back to add energy, after missing last contest and Nuggets fans in attendance will be able to share the same kind of joy Mavs fans did two nights ago.
No need to worry about Carmelo Anthony or Chauncey Billups, they will be fine, it’s K-Mart who needs to take his game from the discount aisle back to blue light special.
Sportsbook.com is offering the Nuggets as eight-point favorites and they are 10-1 ATS as a home chalk of 6.5 to 9 points this season. The total will be the highest of the series at 213.5 and Denver has to crash the boards with more authority and is 14-3 OVER in home games after consecutive affairs being outrebounded by opponent by 10 or more.
Is Dallas really capable of another max effort game on the road? The Mavericks are 3-12 ATS on the road after failing to cover four of their last five contests and are 24-10 OVER in the second round of the playoffs.
It’s too bad this won’t be a seven game series, since it has certainly turned dramatic and nobody does drama like TNT, who has Game 5 at 9 Eastern. Still, difficult to not see Denver is 8-2 and 9-1 ATS at home versus Dallas, even if they serve Pepsi Throwback at the Pepsi Center.
NBA: Top NBA Weekend Power Trends
2009-03-20
In the face of the NCAA Tournament action, the NBA will try to keep some basketball fans interested in its own proceedings this weekend with 25 games. With less than four weeks left in the regular season, the games are getting more and more important, particularly for those teams on the fence of making the postseason or not. In the Eastern Conference, six teams are within 4-games of one another for the 8th & final playoff spot, while in the West, only nine teams are left under consideration for the eight spots, with a desperate Phoenix team trailing Dallas by four games for the last position. Both of those clubs play just once this weekend. Here’s a look at those games, as well as the rest of the weekend highlight, plus our weekly look at the top StatFox Power Trends for you to consider.
On Friday, Dallas will play its sixth road contest in its last seven games when it takes on Indiana. The Mavericks had endured some major struggles on the road at mid-season but have turned it around of late to move to 19-16 ATS for the season prior to Thursday night’s game at Atlanta. However, Dallas is just 2-6 ATS vs. the Central Division this year. The Pacers meanwhile, boast a 21-11 ATS mark versus winning teams in ’08-09. Elsewhere, the Celtics will look to turn around a stretch of poor play when they travel to San Antonio in a battle of the current #2 seeds in their respective conferences. Boston is just 1-10 ATS in its L11 games. In terms of the teams contending for the 8th spot in the East, Charlotte will be on the road at Toronto, while New Jersey and New York will be hosting games against Miami and Sacramento, respectively.
Saturday’s action is highlighted by a potential Eastern Conference second round playoff preview between Atlanta and Cleveland. With a start time of 1:05 PM ET, the game figures to have a playoff feel to it. The Cavs have maintained their winning ways at home, going 30-1 SU & 22-9 ATS prior to Thursday night’s game vs. Portland. The Hawks have struggled on the road at 14-21 SU, but they are in the midst of a 12-game stretch where this will their only road game. Make note that 17 of the L23 games these teams have played in Cleveland have gone OVER the total. Later on at night, the Bulls and Bucks will each be in action, both hosting Western Conference foes. Chicago welcomes Kobe Bryant and the Lakers to town, while the Bucks take on Portland in the final game of a 6-game homestand.
Sunday’s 7-game betting board will wrap up the weekend of action in the NBA and only one of the games will be nationally televised, that coming from San Antonio at 1:00 PM ET, as the Spurs host the Rockets. Heading into Friday, the teams were separated by 1-1/2 games for the lead in the Southwest Division. In three meeting this season, San Antonio has won two, including just last weekend in Houston. That game snapped a 6-game winning streak by the home team in the head-to-head series. Overall, nine of the L11 games between the teams have gone UNDER the total. The only other game on Sunday with any playoff-type implications will be between Miami and Detroit. Currently occupying the 5th & 7th spots in the East, each team maintains hope of moving up. Detroit will be hoping to snap a 1-11 ATS skid on Sunday’s this year.
Now here’s a look at some of the top StatFox Power Trends for this weekend’s NBA games.
Friday, 3/20/2009
(803) CHARLOTTE vs. (804) TORONTO
TORONTO is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons. The average score was TORONTO 99.8, OPPONENT 103.4 - (Rating = 2*)
(811) MEMPHIS vs. (812) NEW ORLEANS
NEW ORLEANS is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) at home revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. The average score was NEW ORLEANS 99.9, OPPONENT 87.6 - (Rating = 2*)
(819) WASHINGTON vs. (820) DENVER
WASHINGTON is 0-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in 2nd half of this season. The average score was WASHINGTON 88.7, OPPONENT 106.1 - (Rating = 4*)
(821) PHILADELPHIA vs. (822) GOLDEN STATE
GOLDEN STATE is 18-6 OVER (+11.4 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season. The average score was GOLDEN STATE 114.9, OPPONENT 111.5 - (Rating = 2*)
Saturday, 3/21/2009
(505) NEW YORK vs. (506) ORLANDO
ORLANDO is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) vs. good offensive teams - scoring 99+ PPG this season. The average score was ORLANDO 103.9, OPPONENT 95.9 - (Rating = 3*)
(507) BOSTON vs. (508) MEMPHIS
MEMPHIS is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) at home vs. good teams outscoring opponents by 3+ PPG in 2nd half of the L2 seasons. The average score was MEMPHIS 95.4, OPPONENT 113.2 - (Rating = 3*)
(511) PORTLAND vs. (512) MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 20-6 OVER (+13.4 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60%-70%) over the last 2 seasons. The average score was MILWAUKEE 99.9, OPPONENT 105.5 - (Rating = 2*)
(513) WASHINGTON vs. (514) PHOENIX
PHOENIX is 15-1 ATS (+13.9 Units) vs. poor defensive teams (FG defense of >=46%) in 2nd half of the last 2 seasons. The average score was PHOENIX 123.4, OPPONENT 106.4 - (Rating = 4*)
Sunday, 3/22/2009
(701) HOUSTON vs. (702) SAN ANTONIO
SAN ANTONIO is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) at home against good teams (Win Pct. 60%-70%) in 2nd half of the L3 seasons. The average score was SAN ANTONIO 101.3, OPPONENT 90 - (Rating = 2*)
(703) MIAMI vs. (704) DETROIT
DETROIT is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) on Sunday games this season. The average score was DETROIT 87.5, OPPONENT 97.4 - (Rating = 3*)
(709) CLEVELAND vs. (710) NEW JERSEY
Lawrence Frank is 15-36 ATS (-24.6 Units) against top-level teams (Win Pct. > 70%) as the coach of NEW JERSEY. The average score was Frank 86.8, OPPONENT 98 - (Rating = 2*)
(711) GOLDEN STATE vs. (712) NEW ORLEANS
NEW ORLEANS is 43-18 UNDER (+23.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. The average score was NEW ORLEANS 95.5, OPPONENT 92.2 - (Rating = 3*)
NBA: Boston Crawls into Cleveland as Underdog (8:00 PM ET, ESPN)
2009-01-09
Maybe this is what the Boston Celtics need or maybe not. The defending NBA champions looked prettier than a perfectly wrapped Christmas present at 27-2, as they prepared for Dec. 25 date with the Lakers in Los Angeles. Since losing that game 92-83, Boston is 2-6, with a matching spread record and looks like the Christmas tree that has been left by the curb, dry, thinned out and ready to be picked up by the garbage men. As the Celtics prepare to take on Eastern Conference leader Cleveland on the road, the question remains, what happened?
It's our defense," said Paul Pierce, explaining the team's recent slump. "Teams are way too comfortable when they go up against us now. We're missing assignments. One person can mess up the whole five, so we all have to get back on the same page."
Coach Doc Rivers agrees wholeheartedly.
"I told our guys that you can't put yourselves in the position where you have to make shots," he said. "If you play defense all game, those shots aren't as important. The game changes when it's a one-point game."
Boston can expect no sympathy from Cleveland (28-6, 24-10 ATS), who they eliminated last May in the Eastern Conference playoffs and defeated 90-85 in Beantown back in late October. “We know it is not just another game,” LeBron James said after practice on Thursday. “We’re looking forward to the challenge.”
Cleveland is playing fantastic basketball, especially at home, where they are 18-0 and 14-4 ATS at Quicken Loans Arena. If the Cavs are feeling a little cavalier about their play at home, they should be, winning by 16.6 points per game, easily the best in the league. Cleveland is off a 30-point blowout of Charlotte two nights ago, when they shot 60 percent and are 17-3 ATS in home games after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game.
They got us up there,” Cavs guard Mo Williams said. “It’s our turn. It’s payback time.”
Maybe it’s just the slump, but another area of concern for Boston (29-8, 19-18 ATS) is their bench. Most veteran observers of the NBA believe they need another scorer, preferably from a wing position, since they mostly have players like Glen Davis and Leon Powe who are better in the paint.
Cleveland is listed as four-point favorite at Sportsbook.com, with a total of 183. The Celtics are 10-1 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last two seasons. Coach Rivers hopes the Cavs are the recipe to shake his team’s lethargy. “That’s not a bad test for us,” Rivers said. “It’s going to be a tough game. They’re playing unbelievable basketball. Maybe it will be something to get us going. Who knows?”
Including last year’s postseason, Cleveland has beaten Boston nine times in a row at home (7-2 ATS), with the C’s last win coming on Dec.18, 2004. Even with its 18-7 ATS record when playing against a top-level team (Win percentage of 70 percent or higher) since Kevin Garnett arrived, this will test the mettle of team not playing their best basketball in a hostile environment.
The total has been about 50-50 when these two clubs get together, nevertheless, certain aspects point towards one direction. Boston is 24-12 UNDER when playing their third game in four days and Cleveland is 27-12 UNDER after a blowout win by 15 points or more over the last three seasons.
It promises to be an entertaining, highly charged environment on ESPN starting at 8 Eastern, with LeBron and mates trying to put the Celts in a pillory for public scorn.
StatFox Power Line – Cleveland by 5